I remember discussing monopolies and antitrusts in my high school economics class. In fact, my major high school paper was describing the (evil) monopoly Microsoft, back when the Internet Explorer fight was occurring. I learned a lot about these big businesses at the time, and I was able to see the Wal-Mart corporation as a potentially good thing, but as well as a potentially bad thing.
Some have hypothesized that Wal-Mart starves the Mom-n-Pop shops, preventing any chance for the little guys to compete against a department/electronics/car repair/gas station/whatever else Wal-Mart can do nowadays. However, near them are many other stores that profit on the customers going to and leaving Wal-Mart. As a statistician, this problem excites me because I would like data to settle this matter.
I am new to spatial statistics, so I am not looking for the most complex model that will really answer this question. The model I am considering is simplistic by design and has much room for improvement. This is actually the project on which I am working for my spatial statistics class.
One local economic indicator is the state (or county) unemployment rate, and because this information is readily available, I am using it as the response in my model. For now, I am not considering a spatio-temporal model, where I might consider the unemployment rate over time: like I said, simplistic! For predictor variables, I am going to first look at the number of local Wal-Marts in each state and in each county. Eventually, I will look at more information about these such as the number of “supercenters” apart from the number of “neighborhood markets.” Also, looking at the opening date for each Wal-Mart would be of interest in the spatio-temporal model, but this is ignored for now, again for simplicity.
Over the next few days, I will be posting the code for scraping the Wal-Mart covariate data as well as the R code for the spatial analysis.